House RegretsThe house you didn’t buy.

The Sioux Falls house you didn’t buy in 2021

A $300,000 house at 2021’s average index level, tracked to 2026 Q2.

$300k in 2021$401,658Multiple1.3×2021 30-yr rate2.96%

The metro index went from 273.3 (the 2021 average) to 365.9 in 2026 Q2, 1.3× its 2021 level. That makes a $300,000 purchase about $401,658 today.

With 20% down ($60,000) and a 30-year loan at 2021’s average rate of 2.96%, today’s equity is about $188,446, 3.1× the down payment.

The same $60,000 down payment, put in an S&P 500 index fund instead (the TSP C Fund, dividends reinvested), was worth $115,390 at the end of August 2026, the latest month the fund has reported at tsp.gov.

Run your own numbers for 2021 →

House figures are estimates for the whole metro market, from the FHFA index. Not financial advice.

FAQ

What is a 2021 Sioux Falls house worth today?

About $401,658 for a $300,000 house, a 1.3× market multiple to 2026 Q2 by the FHFA all-transactions index for Sioux Falls, SD-MN.

Why use an index instead of listings?

The FHFA index is built from repeat transactions on the same homes, so it controls for the mix of what happens to be for sale.

Is this investment advice?

No. This is historical arithmetic for education and entertainment.